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The identification of anticipation in schizophrenia is a recent focus in the genetic epidemiology of schizophrenia, although it involves some controversial methodological issues. We explored the evidence of anticipation among 44 Japanese two-generation pairs with schizophrenia found by reviewing nine years of admission records (1986-1994) at the Department of Neuropsychiatry, Nagasaki University Hospital and Michino-o Hospital, Nagasaki. The 44 pairs consisted of 27 two-generation pairs of first-degree relatives group (FDRG) and 17 pairs of second-degree relatives group (SDRG). On pairwise comparison and a life table analysis, the age at onset (AO) was significantly earlier in the lower generation (G2) than in the upper generation (G1) in all of the pairs and in the two subgroups, FDRG and SDRG. Earlier AO was shown in G2 even after minimizing some statistical biases for the study of anticipation in schizophrenia. A significant earlier mean AO was found in G2 even when a cohort effect was controlled for. There was no marked difference in AO between paternal and maternal transmission. These results provide further evidence for epidemiological anticipation, suggesting biological anticipation such as the involvement of trinucleotide repeats expansion in G2. The limitations of the study are also discussed.

Anticipation in Japanese families with schizophrenia