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Extending results of Linial (1984) and Aigner (1985), we prove a uniform lower bound on the balance constant of a poset P of width 2. This constant is defined as δ ( P ) = max( x,y ) ∈P 2 min{ℙ( x ≺ y ), ℙ( y ≺ x )}, where ℙ( x≺y ) is the probability x is less than y in a uniformly random linear extension of P. In particular, we show that if P is a width 2 poset that cannot be formed from the singleton poset and the three element poset with one relation using the operation of direct sum, then $$\delta \left( P \right) \ge \frac{{ - 3 + 5\sqrt {17} }}{{52}} \approx 0.33876....$$ This partially answers a question of Brightwell (1999); a full resolution would require a proof of the $$\frac{1}{3} - \frac{2}{3}$$ Conjecture that if P is not totally ordered, then $$\delta \left( P \right) \ge \frac{1}{3}$$ . Furthermore, we construct a sequence of posets T n of width 2 with δ ( T n ) → β ≈ 0.348843…, giving an improvement over a construction of Chen (2017) and over the finite posets found by Peczarski (2017). Numerical work on small posets by Peczarski suggests the constant β may be optimal.

Improving the $$\frac{1}{3} - \frac{2}{3}$$ Conjecture for Width Two Posets