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Randomised trials targeting high-risk people with impaired glucose tolerance have halved progression to diabetes using behavioural interventions aimed at achieving five goals related to weight, diet and physical activity. The number of people currently meeting these goals in the general population is unknown. The potential impact on the incidence of diabetes of increasing the proportion of people who meet these goals is also unclear. We quantified the association between the achievement of behavioural goals for the prevention of diabetes and the incidence of diabetes in a population-based cohort study.

How much might achievement of diabetes prevention behaviour goals reduce the incidence of diabetes if implemented at the population level?