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Vietnam is one of the most affected countries in terms of monetary losses or mortality of extreme events due to climate change in the world. Since agriculture is directly affected by the climate conditions in Vietnam, several adaptation measures such as shifting transplanting dates and/or using different cultivars have been taken to mitigate the loss of rice production because of climate change. In this chapter, we introduce the econometric evaluation methods of the adaptation measures with the supply and demand models. The supply and demand models each consist of yield, planted area, exports, imports, stock changes, and food demand functions of rice. By measuring the yield and planted area functions with climate variables, the effect of climate change on future rice production and food demand can be estimated. By inserting a mathematical model of dissemination of new cultivars, the possible outlook of the adaptation measure can be assessed as scenarios. In the case of the Mekong Delta Region, farmers in the coastal to central areas have been shifting the aquaculture-based farming style. We also discuss these transitions of farming style.

springerbriefs in climate studies

Economic Evaluation and Climate Change Adaptation Measures for Rice Production in Vietnam Using a Supply and Demand Model: Special Emphasis on the Mekong River Delta Region in Vietnam