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The Healthy Life Years Lost Methodology (HLYL) is introduced to model and estimate the Health Expenditure in Japan in 2011. The HLYL theory and estimation methods are presented in our books in the Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis vol. 45 and 46 titled: “Exploring the Health State of a Population by Dynamic Modeling Methods” and “Demography and Health Issues: Population Aging, Mortality and Data Analysis”. Special applications appear in Chapters of these books as in “The Health-Mortality Approach in Estimating the Healthy Life Years Lost Compared to the Global Burden of Disease Studies and Applications in World, USA and Japan” and in “Estimation of the Healthy Life Expectancy in Italy Through a Simple Model Based on Mortality Rate” by Skiadas and Arezzo. Here we further present the main part of the methodology with more details and illustrations, and we develop and extend a life table important to estimate the healthy life years lost along with the fitting for the health expenditure in the related case. The application results are quite promising and important to support decision-makers and health agencies with a powerful tool to improve the health expenditure allocation and future predictions.

Modeling the Health Expenditure in Japan, 2011. A Healthy Life Years Lost Methodology