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Metaphysics has traditionally represented contingency via the modality of possibility. Contingent being is thought via the di erent being that it possibly can be. We claim that this mediation is an improper exchange of contingency. It collides with what Baudrillard calls the Impossible Exchange Barrier. If contingency is to be thought absolutely, it must be thought independently of the map of possibilities. The notion of possible states must be eradicated throughout and Meillassoux's factual speculation should nd its adapted medium instead. We investigate what this alternative medium may be. Physics (instead of metaphysics) can be our guide, because quantum mechanics acts precisely at the level where the range of possible states is not yet decided. It strikes behind the scene where things are, precisely at the hinge where they can be. It is not in probability that absolute contingency will nd its right mediation or translation, but in a material medium that will replace probability altogether. Consequently, the necessity of contingency will no longer be intellectual but will become plainly material speculative thought having itself undergone the same material exchange as the one granting the proper translation of the strike

The Medium of Contingency