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According to numerous press reports, in 2007 at Minot US Air Force Base sixAGM-129 Advanced Cruise Missiles mistakenly armed with W80-1 thermonuclearwarheads were loaded on a B-52H heavy bomber in place of six unarmed AGM-129missiles that were awaiting transport to Barksdale US Air Force Base fordisposal. The live nuclear missiles were not reported missing, and stoodunsecured and unguarded while mounted to the aircraft for a period of 36 hours.The present work investigates the radiological hazards associated with aworst-case postulated accident that would disperse the nuclear material of thesix warheads in large metropolitan cities. Using computer simulationsapproximate estimates are derived for the ensuing cancer mortality and landcontamination after the accident. Health, decontamination and evacuation costsare also estimated in the framework of the linear risk model.

Broken Arrows: Radiological hazards from nuclear warhead accidents (the Minot USAF base nuclear weapons incident)