Open AccessMIGRATION FROM UKRAINE TO THE REPUBLIC OF SOUTH AFRICA AS A POSSIBLE FACTOR IN THE TRADE DEVELOPMENT
Author(s) -
Oksana Pyatkovska
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
ìntelekt xxi
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2707-6164
pISSN - 2415-8801
DOI - 10.32782/2415-8801/2021-1.2
Subject(s) - ukrainian , diversification (marketing strategy) , geography , political science , human migration , development economics , residence , international trade , economy , population , economics , business , demographic economics , demography , sociology , philosophy , linguistics , marketing
For the last decade external migration flows from Ukraine increased from 5.4 million (2010) to 5.9 million (2019) while, according to author’s calculations, Ukrainian migration to Africa has tripled during the same period. Due to the war of the Russian Federation against Ukraine, and the corresponding changes in priorities in the international political arena, the development of trade and diversification of foreign economic partners have become crucially important for Ukraine. Many empirical non-Ukrainian studies prove the positive impact of international migration on trade between the country of origin and the destination of migrants. In this situation the issue of involving Ukrainian migrants in establishing economic cooperation between Ukraine and country of Ukrainian migrants’ residence, especially in the trade sphere, is very actual. According to the UN migration data, in the beginning of 2020 the number of Ukrainian migrants among all African countries was the highest in the Republic of South Africa, making 6.7 thousand people. Therefore, the aim of the article is to identify the possible impact of Ukrainian migration to South Africa on the growth of trade in goods from Ukraine to South Africa, as well as the factors that may cause it. The author of the article considers the dynamics of migration from Ukraine to South Africa, as well as the dynamics of exports of goods and services for the period 2000 – 2019 years. Analysis of data by approximation using CurveExpert software allow to trace the correlation between the dynamics of migration from Ukraine to South Africa and export growth: a quadratic relationship with a correlation coefficient R = 0.9345. The ratio of the share of exports of goods and services from Ukraine to South Africa of the 2000 – 2019 period is analyzed, and a conclusion is made about the significant dominance of goods in the overall structure of exports. The analysis of the commodity structure of exports of goods allows to explain the reason for the positive impact of migration on it: predominance of food products, which are in great demand among Ukrainian migrants in South Africa. An additional factor that may further stimulate the growth of trade from Ukraine to South Africa is the entrepreneurial activity of Ukrainian migrants in this country and their great interest in establishing and promotion of trade exchanges between their country of origin and the country of destination.