Open AccessConstruction of appropriate model for Enrolment Projection of India
Author(s) -
Vishal D. Pajankar
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
türk bilgisayar ve matematik eğitimi dergisi
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.218
H-Index - 3
ISSN - 1309-4653
DOI - 10.17762/turcomat.v12i1s.1592
Subject(s) - logistic regression , projection (relational algebra) , statistics , mathematics , econometrics , logistic function , autoregressive integrated moving average , computer science , time series , algorithm
There are different models used for enrolment projection in the education system. Of them ARIMA, double exponential, logistic curve method, reconstructive cohort, and regression model, method are commonly used. Every model has its suitability under certain conditions and with prior assumptions. In India, no attempt was made to estimate enrolment except in 1996. The logistic curve method was adopted to estimate enrolment between 1996 – 2001. In the present situation, an attempt has been made to estimate school enrolment for the next years. The present paper discusses fitting the best model for estimating enrolment for the next few years.