Open AccessPotential effect of future climate changes on productivity of selected crops in Poland
Author(s) -
B. Brzóska,
Adam Jaczewski
Publication year - 2016
Publication title -
annals of warsaw university of life sciences-sggw. land reclamation
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2081-9617
pISSN - 1898-8857
DOI - 10.1515/sggw-2016-0014
Subject(s) - productivity , climate change , agriculture , precipitation , environmental science , climate extremes , agricultural productivity , crop productivity , crop , climate model , climatology , agricultural economics , geography , ecology , meteorology , economics , forestry , biology , macroeconomics , archaeology , geology
Potential effect of future climate changes on productivity of selected crops in Poland. Future projections of selected climate indices have been used to assess potential effects of climate changes on productivity of selected crops in Poland. CMIP5 global climate models’ results for the future period (2006-2035) and historical one (1981-2010) are used in the study. Models predict decrease in count of days with extreme low temperatures and increase in count of days with extreme high temperatures. An increase in the number of days with very heavy precipitation is also predicted. Not all climate change effects have negative impact on crop productivity in Poland but all of them confirm requirements to put into practice mitigation and adaptation strategies for Poland’s agriculture