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Popularity functions, partisan effects, and support in Parliament
Author(s) -
Veiga Francisco José,
Veiga Linda Gonçalves
Publication year - 2004
Publication title -
economics and politics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.822
H-Index - 45
eISSN - 1468-0343
pISSN - 0954-1985
DOI - 10.1111/j.1468-0343.2004.00133.x
Subject(s) - popularity , parliament , honeymoon , unemployment , opposition (politics) , politics , personality , economics , advertising , political economy , political science , social psychology , psychology , business , law , macroeconomics
This paper analyzes the popularity of the main political entities in Portugal. Estimation results of popularity functions validate the responsibility hypothesis, with unemployment, and to a lesser extent inflation, affecting popularity levels. There is also evidence of personality effects, of popularity erosion over consecutive terms and of honeymoon effects. Finally, we found that voters' evaluations of incumbents' performance regarding unemployment is affected by their support in Parliament – when an incumbent faces more opposition in Parliament, voters are less likely to hold him responsible for unemployment increases.