Open AccessHOW TO PREDICT FUTURE DURATION FROM PRESENT AGE
Author(s) -
Monton Bradley,
Kierland Brian
Publication year - 2006
Publication title -
the philosophical quarterly
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.095
H-Index - 45
eISSN - 1467-9213
pISSN - 0031-8094
DOI - 10.1111/j.1467-9213.2005.00426.x
Subject(s) - duration (music) , argument (complex analysis) , longevity , process (computing) , core (optical fiber) , epistemology , philosophy , computer science , physics , medicine , gerontology , acoustics , operating system , telecommunications
The physicist J. Richard Gott has given an argument which, if good, allows one to make accurate predictions for the future longevity of a process, based solely on its present age. We show that there are problems with some of the details of Gott's argument, but we defend the core thesis: in many circumstances, the greater the present age of a process, the more likely a longer future duration.
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