Premium
Spatiotemporal Profiling of Tropical Cyclones Genesis and Favorable Environmental Conditions in the Western Pacific Basin
Author(s) -
Lu Mengqian,
Xiong Rui
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
geophysical research letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.007
H-Index - 273
eISSN - 1944-8007
pISSN - 0094-8276
DOI - 10.1029/2019gl084995
Subject(s) - climatology , geology , tropical cyclone , pacific decadal oscillation , series (stratigraphy) , oceanography , structural basin , empirical orthogonal functions , sea surface temperature , geomorphology , paleontology
We analyze the spatiotemporal variations of tropical cyclone (TC) genesis and associated environmental conditions over the western North Pacific with a series of data science techniques, including Gaussian kernel estimator, wavelet, cross‐wavelet coherence, and regression analyses. There are significant semiannual and annual variations of TC genesis over the northern South China Sea and oceanic areas east of the Philippines. Variations on the El Niño–Southern Oscillation timescale are prominent between 5–10°N, 155–160°E. With reconstructed TC series on those frequencies, we further quantify the influences of environmental variables on the primary TC signals over western North Pacific. Over northern South China Sea and oceanic areas east of the Philippines, 40% of the reconstructed TC variance can be explained by vertical shear of zonal wind, relative humidity, and absolute vorticity. The reconstructed TC series near (160°E, 7°N) has strong but varying in‐phase relationships with El Niño–Southern Oscillation, which provides deeper insight into their nonstationary and nonlinear relations than their modest correlation.
Accelerating Research
Robert Robinson Avenue,
Oxford Science Park, Oxford
OX4 4GP, United Kingdom
Address
John Eccles HouseRobert Robinson Avenue,
Oxford Science Park, Oxford
OX4 4GP, United Kingdom