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1 The research reported in this paper is based on the study “Un Análisis para la Mejora de la Calidad Predictiva en las Estimaciones Electorales a partir de Datos de Encuesta” funded by the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas through a Sociological Research Grant awaras the discipline itself. According to Smith(1999), “Early research extends back to the emergence of polling in the 1930s and has been a regular feature in statistical and social

Nonresponse Bias and Superpopulation Models in Electoral Polls