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The aim of this work is to design an alarm system that allows protecting and preventing crop-freezing damages taking decisions with enough time to react. A first step was to obtain a temperature forecast mode. In this line an hourly temperature series was analyzed with Box-Jenkins methodology ( ARIMA models). An alarm system is designed based on these forecast, at each 12 hours, in the air temperatures obtained each hour at real time and in the average errors between real and forecast each hour and each 12 hours. This system generates an index alarm that is related with the risk intensity that over a certain value will activate several sensors. This system is applicable to any area adjusting conveniently the parameters and the ARIMA model.

FREEZING ALARM SYSTEM BASED ON TIME SERIES ANALISYS