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The fate of seasonal river ecosystem habitats under climate changeessentially depends on the changes in annual recharge of the river, which arerelated to alterations in precipitation and evaporation over the river basin.Therefore, the change in climate conditions is expected to significantlyaffect hydrological and ecological components, particularly in fragmentedecosystems. This study aims to assess the impacts of climate change on thestreamflow in the Dinder River basin (DRB) and to infer its relative possibleeffects on the Dinder National Park (DNP) ecosystem habitats in Sudan. Fourglobal circulation models (GCMs) from Coupled Model Intercomparison ProjectPhase 5 and two statistical downscaling approaches combined with ahydrological model (SWAT – the Soil and Water Assessment Tool) were used toproject the climate change conditions over the study periods 2020s, 2050s,and 2080s. The results indicated that the climate over the DRB will becomewarmer and wetter under most scenarios. The projected precipitationvariability mainly depends on the selected GCM and downscaling approach.Moreover, the projected streamflow is quite sensitive to rainfall andtemperature variation, and will likely increase in this century. In contrastto drought periods during the 1960s, 1970s, and 1980s, the predicted climatechange is likely to affect ecosystems in DNP positively and promote theecological restoration for the habitats of flora and fauna

Impacts of climate change under CMIP5 RCP scenarios on the streamflow in the Dinder River and ecosystem habitats in Dinder National Park, Sudan