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Within the framework of coupled meteorological-hydrological predictions,this study aims at comparing two high-resolution meteorological ensembles,covering short and medium range. The two modelling systems have similarcharacteristics, as almost the same number of members, the model resolution(about 7 km), the driving ECMWF global ensemble prediction system, but areobtained through different methodologies: the former is a multi-modelensemble, based on three mesoscale models (BOLAM, COSMO, and WRF), while thelatter follows a single-model approach, based on COSMO-LEPS (Limited-areaEnsemble Prediction System), the operational ensemble forecasting systemdeveloped within the COSMO consortium.  Precipitation forecasts are evaluated in terms of hydrological response,after coupling the meteorological models with a distributed rainfall-runoffmodel (TOPKAPI) to simulate the discharge of the Reno river (NorthernItaly), for a severe weather episode.  Although a single case study does not allow for robust and definiteconclusions, the comparison among different predictions points out aremarkably better performance of mesoscale model ensemble forecasts comparedto global ones. Moreover, the multi-model ensemble outperforms the singlemodel approach

Comparing different meteorological ensemble approaches: hydrological predictions for a flood episode in Northern Italy