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espanolEste trabajo hace un aporte metodologico al analisis del impacto de politicas de transporte, utilizando metodos cuasi-experimentales comparando hogares de tratamiento y control para estimar los efectos en la motorizacion. La congestion vehicular y la sostenibilidad de la movilidad se han identificado como los problemas principales de las ciudades latinoamericanas. Medidas como la prohibicion de la utilizacion del vehiculo en algunas horas del dia, conocidas como restricciones vehiculares, son el objetivo de esta investigacion. Sin embargo, luego de anos de implementadas las medidas, se observa que en lugar de contribuir a la reduccion del uso del vehiculo particular, estas han promovido la compra de mas automoviles. Los resultados de este trabajo sugieren que las politicas de restriccion durante todo el dia, como se han implementado en ciudades como Bogota y Mexico, han promovido la compra de mas coches en los estratos mas altos. Los hogares afectados por la medida muestran una tendencia de un 20% mas a comprar otro vehiculo cuando se comparan con hogares de una ciudad sin politicas de restriccion vehicular. EnglishThis work makes a methodological contribution to the analysis of the impact of transport policies, using quasi-experimental methods, comparing treatment and control households to estimate the effects on motorization. Vehicle congestion and sustainability of mobility have been identified as the main problems in latin-american cities. Measures such as the prohibition of using vehicles during some periods of the day, which are known as vehicle restrictions, are the main objectives of this research. However, after several years of implementation of these measures, it is observed that vehicle restrictions have promoted the purchase of more vehicles. The results of this research suggest that all-day restriction policies as they have been implemented in cities such as Bogota and Mexico, instead of contributing to the reduction of the use of private vehicles have promoted the purchase of more cars among higher-income families. Families affected by the measure show a tendency of 20% more willingness to purchasing another vehicle when they are compared with households in cities without vehicle restriction policies.

información tecnológica

Evaluación de Impacto en la motorización como Consecuencia de las Políticas de Restricción Vehicular, Aproximación Metodológica para el caso de Bogotá y Villavicencio - Colombia