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This study aims to explore the long-term productivity dynamics of the economy of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus by using a simple Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model. More specifically, we aim to analyze the impact of macroeconomic instability and socio-economic infrastructure on total factor productivity over the 1977-2017 period. Additionally, this study develops a socio-economic infrastructure index by combining information from communication, energy, education and health indicators. The main result of this paper is that while total factor productivity is positively and significantly affected by the improvements in socio-economic infrastructure it is negatively affected from the external macroeconomic instability.

The Impact of External Instability and Socio-economic Infrastructure on the Productivity Dynamics of North Cyprus