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The Shullcas River is born in the Chuspicocha and Lazo Untay lagoons located on the western ankof the Huaytapallana, it is the main source of water for human consumption in the city of Huancayo.The objective of the research work is to apply the Box - Jenkins, and Holt - Winters models forthe forecast of the monthly ows of the Shullcas river in the Chamiseria station. The Holt -Wintersmultiplicative model is not applicable because the predicted monthly ows have a secular tendencyThe ARIMA model (1,0, 0)(2, 1, 1)12 is the most suitable for the forecast of monthly ows becausethey have the lowest value of the Akaike information criterion (0, 551)

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La Aplicación de los modelos Box-Jenkins y Holt-Winters para el pronóstico de los caudales mensuales en el río Shullcas en la estación Chamisería, Huancayo-Perú