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The implications of global warming on energy uses for heating and cooling in buildings are analysed in the paper. The research methodology is based on monitoring data on average daily temperature variation during a certain period and expected future temperature variation of existing mean daily temperatures according to a certain climate model. Developed model also uses the current real energy consumption of public buildings at a location and envisaged variation of cooling and heating degree day influenced by global warming. Based on the model, authors examine the influence of global warming on primary energy consumption for heating and cooling in public buildings in a city of Kragujevac, Serbia. The results show that a consequence of global warming should be a significant reduction of total primary energy consumption for heating and cooling in the public buildings. Possible increase in mean annual temperature of 3.8 °C till the end of the century has an impact to the reduction of primary energy use for heating for 35.7% in public buildings in Kragujevac, while predicted consumption of primary energy for cooling will be almost five times higher than nowadays.

Influence of global warming on primary energy consumption for heating and cooling in public buildings