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In two studies, the predictive accuracy and the incremental validity of different dynamic risk assessment measures were examined. In Study 1, the Dynamic Risk Assessment for Offender Re-Entry (DRAOR), which is a measure of dynamic risk and protective factors, was examined with a sample of 203 male adult sexual offenders. The results demonstrated that the DRAOR significantly predicted technical violations, but failed to significantly predict sexual recidivism. Further, the DRAOR made a significant incremental contribution over the Static-99R for predicting technical violations. In Study 2, the Stable-2007 and Acute-2007, which were designed to assess dynamic predictors of sexual recidivism among male adult sexual offenders, were examined with a sample of 207 sex offenders. Results showed that both dynamic measures significantly predicted technical violations, but demonstrated weak predictive accuracy for sexual reoffense. The Stable-2007 and Acute-2007 also added incremental validity to the prediction of technical violations over and above the Static-99R.

Evaluating Risk Assessments Among Sex Offenders: A Comparative Analysis of Static and Dynamic Factors