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Although a great uncertainty exists regarding the return period of large-scale tsunami events in the Gulf of Mexico (GOM), geological and historical evidences indicate that the most likely tsunami hazard could come from a submarine landslide. This study aims to customize for the GOM an existing probabilistic methodology to determine landslidetsunami sources associated with return periods. The Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) technique is employed to determine the uncertainty related to location/water-depth and landslide dimension. By using the MCS model, we identified tsunami sources associated with return periods from few thousands to 10,000 years for each fixed transects defined over the continental slope of the GOM.

A Probabilistic Methodology for Determining Tsunami Sources Generated by Submarine Landslide -Application to the Gulf of Mexico-