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In order to project long-term changes in storm surge characteristics under future climate condition, the present study has developed two types of statistical storm surge models using an artifcial neural network (NN). The proposed NN model, which uses only tropical cyclone information, enables to estimate large number event of storm surges using the stochastic tropical cyclone model. The long-term impact assessment of storm surge around Japan can be estimated by the NN and the stochastic tropical cyclone model considering future change of tropical cyclone characteristics.

Projection of Storm Surge considering Future Change of Tropical Cyclones using Stochastic Tropical Cyclone Model and Artificial Neural Network