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Residual Useful Life (RUL) prediction is a key step of Condition-Based Maintenance (CBM). Deep learning-based techniques have shown wonderful prospects on RUL prediction, although their performances depends on heavy structures and parameter tuning strategies of these deep-learning models. In this paper, we propose a novel Deep Belief Network (DBN) model constructed by improved conditional Restrict Boltzmann Machines (RBMs) and apply it in RUL prediction for hydraulic pumps. DBN is a deep probabilistic digraph neural network that consists of multiple layers of RBMs. Since RBM is an undirected graph model and there is no communication among the nodes of the same layer, the deep feature extraction capability of the original DBN model can hardly ensure the accuracy of modeling continuous data. To address this issue, the DBN model is improved by replacing RBM with the Improved Conditional RBM (ICRBM) that adds timing linkage factors and constraint variables among the nodes of the same layers on the basis of RBM. The proposed model is applied to RUL prediction of hydraulic pumps, and the results show that the prediction model proposed in this paper has higher prediction accuracy compared with traditional DBNs, BP networks, support vector machines and modified DBNs such as DEBN and GC-DBN.

A Novel Deep Belief Network Model Constructed by Improved Conditional RBMs and its Application in RUL Prediction for Hydraulic Pumps