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This paper presents criteria for evaluating flexibility of a generation mix and develops an efficient computational algorithm for determining a robust generation mix considering uncertainties in the power system expansion planning. The robust generation mix problem is formulated as a multiobjective optimization problem and solved by the dynamic programming technique in which each type of generation plants is selected as a stage and generation capacity is selected as a state. The proposed method can treat easily not only the uncertainties but also many constraints of generation planning such as integer solutions of generation capacities, reliability constraints, and so on. The effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method are demonstrated on a typical power system model.

Determination of Robust Generation Mix Considering Uncertainties