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With the deepening of multi-energy flow coupling and the diversification of energy utilization demand, integrated energy system (IES) puts forward higher requirements for the economy and reliability of capacity allocation scheme. However, there is a complex relationship between economy and reliability, which makes it difficult for them to achieve coordinated optimization. Therefore, an economic and reliability optimal capacity allocation method of IES based on improved co-evolution algorithm is proposed. Firstly, the timing scenario reduction method of “wind power-electrical load” based on ordered clustering algorithm and K-means clustering algorithm is proposed. Aiming at minimizing the expected annual cost of construction investment, operation and maintenance, carbon emission and energy purchase cost, and constrained by equipment operation and energy flow balance, a multi-scenario economic operation model is constructed. Considering the dissatisfaction degree of comprehensive energy consumption, the energy supply reliability evaluation model based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is established. On this basis, the IES multi-objective optimal capacity allocation model is established. Further, based on the orthogonal test method, the influence factors of decision variables on IES economy and reliability are calculated, and the evolution subpopulation of economy and reliability is established, and then the optimization model’s solution method based on improved co-evolution algorithm is proposed. Finally, an example simulation analysis is carried out combined with the actual data of a certain region. The simulation results show that the proposed model can cooperatively improve the economy and reliability of IES capacity allocation scheme, and provide a reference for the optimal capacity allocation of equipment in IES.

Multi-objective optimal capacity allocation of integrated energy system with co-evolution mechanism