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Using a fully factorial precipitation by warming experiment in an old-field ecosystem in the northeastern USA we studied the climatic sensitivity of seedlings of six native tree species. Warm and dry conditions suppressed seedling growth, but affected species differently by increasing mortality, enhancing rates of herbivory or decreasing foliar carbon uptake. Our results indicate that, in the northeastern USA, dry years in a future warmer environment could have damaging effects on the growth capacity of early secondary successional forests, through species-specific effects on leaf production, herbivory and mortality.

Warming increases the sensitivity of seedling growth capacity to rainfall in six temperate deciduous tree species